TUNEPRO Is Ready To Adjust

TUNEPRO 从27/9 脱离了短期的上升线，7/10 跌破压力线，然后10/10 跌破了主要上升线。虽然今天稍微收在主要上升线，但是却整个的走势开始呈现疲弱，而大概1.56 会是一个重要的支撑，一旦跌破就会转入另一个盘整区间。

从月线来观察，TUNEPRO 在完毕了第三个时间框后的那一周却没有如预期般的上涨，反而是开高走底，在趋势上我认为是一个转弱讯号，而基于我并不是买在低档区加上外围的风险，所以在操作上我选择套利了结。虽然如此，目前我会认为这是一个调整行情而多过是一个空头行情的开始。所以，日后我会尝试在适合的价位再重新持有。



TUNEPRO is move out of the short-term ascending line at 27/9, fell below the resistance line at 7/10, and then fell below the major uptrend line at 10/10. Although today is closed slightly in the major uptrend line, but overall the trend is seem weakness, and now 1.56 will be an important support, once break below will be transferred to another sideways. 


Observation from monthly chart, TUNEPRO did not rise as expected after finished the third symmetrical time frame, however, it open high and close low at the end, so this is a weak signal to me, therefore I decide to arbitrage due to my buy price is not within the safety margin plus the external risk. Even so, I still think this is an adjustment trend more than a downtrend. So, I will try to buy back in a suitable timing in the future.

TA ANN, Bear Attack

追踪了TA ANN 那么的一段时间，最后居然在 7/10 一根直接破坏了上升线和(a) 线，毕竟也是需要遵守市场的方向，我当天就马上减码了。如今TA ANN 徘徊在支撑3.45，而3.45 是底部的一个突破点，所以是非常重要的支撑，一旦跌破就会进入下一个横盘区间。其实，如果再往前做观察，可以注意得到在六个交易日后的时间框对称马上出现了弱势表态，这可以做为一个减码（或卖出）讯号，以作为更好的风险管控；这也同样的出现在TUNEPRO 近期的走势，而我也即将会在下一篇分享。

另外，从棕油期货的走势，大略可以看得出TA ANN 如何被牵动着。如今棕油期货是在走向一个三角收敛，如果不幸跌破，那么我想TA ANN 也会跟着破支撑。无论如何，这个答案应该会在这两个礼拜内揭晓，毕竟拖得太久也不会是一件好事。



TA ANN has been tracking for some time, but it fell below both line (a) & ascending line at 7/10, then I immediate reduce my position on TA ANN at the same day since it is a must to comply with the market direction. Now, TA ANN support is hovering at 3.45, and 3.45 is a crucial support because it is a breakthrough point from the base, if once broken it will enter to the next sideways. In fact, if do observation in the previous trend, we can notice there is a symmetrical time frame of six trading days, and TA ANN trend is go weak after end of the time frame, which can be used as a signal to reduce TA ANN position, as a better risk management; this is also appear in the TUNEPRO recent trend which I will share in my next post soon.

Moreover, from the trend of Bursa Malaysia Palm Oil Plantation Index, probably we can see how the TA ANN is affected. So, the Palm Oil Plantation Index are now moving toward a convergence triangle, if unfortunately broken, then I think TA ANN will break it support too. Anyway, the answer will unfold within this two weeks, because it is not a good thing too drag too long.

TA ANN, Back To Fighting

近期的金融市场波动不断，一样也导致了个股的走势起伏不定。
自从 TA ANN 不带量的站上了3.57 后，只是维持了六个交易日就跌回3.57 以下，如今的支撑来到之前的起涨点 3.51，这就如我在之前所提到的需要多注意。现在，观察点在上升线和 (a) 线，如果上升线被跌破，就意味了走势的轨道即将改变，同时间在 3.51 的起涨点也被消灭掉了。所以，近这几个交易日将会是一个关键，一旦发生，我就会开始减码。

The recent financial market volatility is continued, as also led to the individual stocks fluctuated.
Since TA ANN stand above 3.57 without volume, but it just successful maintain in six trading day before dropped back to below 3.57, now the support is came to 3.51, and this is what I've mentioned in previous post that the extra precaution is require. Now, the observation point is on the ascending line and line (a), if the ascending line is broken, it means the trend is going to change, at the same time the attack signal at 3.51 has also been wiped out too. So, these few coming trading day will be very crucial, once happen I will start to reduce my TA ANN position.

TA ANN, Come On!

TA ANN 今天终于突破了下降趋势线 (a)，也意外的一口气站上了3.57 收在3.60，回补了13/9 和 21/9的空方攻击。这也许是主力的信心在FED 利率决策会议出炉后，扫除了市场的不确定性而开始回稳了；此外，也加上棕油期货走强的因素从而带动这次的涨幅。但是，唯一的不足就是不带量，也许这个日后需要多注意。

在技术上，既然站得上就别破线，目前支撑提升到3.57，或则保守点支撑可以设在3.52。操作方面我依然是维持手上的部位，不会做任何的加码动作，直到突破3.70。


TA ANN finally broke the downtrend line (a), surprisingly stood above 3.57 and close at 3.60, thus covering the short side attack on 13/9 and 21/9. Perhaps, big player confident is regain through the uncertainty is removed after the FED interest rate decision is released; besides, the strong trend of Bursa Malaysia Palm Oil Plantation Index is an additional factor too. But the only downside is without high volume, probably an extra precaution is require in the future.

Technically, support 3.57 cannot be destroy, or support at 3.52 for more conservative. In Operation wise, I still maintain my current stock position, then overweight once breakthrough 3.70.

Related
TA ANN Bull Run Is Starting Up?!
Is TA ANN U Turn?
TA ANN, My Opinion
TA ANN, My Update

Good Or Bad KAWAN? Will Know After a Breakout Of 4.00

好“朋友”还是坏“朋友”？近期KAWAN 的走势看起来很强劲，自5/9 突破了下降趋势线 (a)，回测在 3.73 价位，然后今天突破前高 （不以上影线来测）收在 3.93。保守预测，目前应该会在 3.89 附近做个小整理区间，最后突破压力线展开多头旅程。

在操作上，5/9 的突破点和回测点都是我的进场时间点，支撑就设在3.726，然后等待最后的突破在4.00 之处做加码动作。然而，必须注意3.975，以防到达了波段涨幅后，“朋友” 翻脸走人。 所以，主力是我们的好“朋友”还是坏“朋友”？ 看来只有突破了4.00 才可以确认。 


Good Or Bad KAWAN? KAWAN trend seems very strong recently, since 5/9 breakthrough the downtrend line (a), then back tested at 3.73, and today surpass previous high (not measure the shadow) by closed at 3.93. Conservatively forecast, there should be a minor range of consolidation zone around 3.89, and then breakthrough the final resistance to start the bullish journey.

In operation, 5/9 breakthrough and back-tested both is the buy timing for me, and set the support at 3.726, then overweight after the final resistance 4.00 is breakthrough. However, we must be pay extra precaution at 3.975, just in case KAWAN make a U-turn after the target price is reached. So, whether big player is our Good Or Bad KAWAN? It seems like only can confirm after a breakout of 4.00.

TA ANN, My Update

今天的TA ANN 收得让我有点失望，不止突破不了下降趋势线 (a)，而且还要一天就跌破了从14/9 一连三天的推升段，然而这次是否能再重演1/9 和 2/9 时的翻转讯号？ 那就必须要看明天主力的心情了。

在技术上，目前的走势的确有点弱势，但还不至于断定转为空头趋势，只是又再度的进入了横盘状态如果一旦跌破3.44。在操作上，如果出现了小破线，都需要特别注意部位的调整以确保组合还是在安全边际的范围内，毕竟安全第一。


Today TA ANN closing makes me a little disappointment, not only could not break the downward trend line (a), but also fall below the short term support 3.48, which is the push-up segment since 14/9, however, whether the reversal signal (like 1/9 & 2/9) will be repeated again? Then, we will see by tomorrow.


Technically, the current trend was a little weak, but bearish trend is still early to judge; once again, it will entered into sideways if fell below 3.44. In operation wise, once a break line, then an extra precaution is require to adjust the position to ensure the margin of safety is fulfilled, because of safety first.


Related
TA ANN Bull Run Is Starting Up?!
Is TA ANN U Turn?
TA ANN, My Opinion

MAGNI Return?

“美女”回头？在六月中旬跌破大颈线的 MAGNI，然后从七月初开始盘了两个月在九月初5/9/2016 做突破，而且还一度在15/09/2016回测反弹，配合了当天财报利多消息。虽然今天直接站回大颈线之上，但是却开高走低，技术上来看应该是到达了短期的波段涨幅，主力选择在这段非常期间做短期套利。

在技术上，这个两个月的横盘刚好对称了小头部的盘头时间，或可以解读为消化了小头部的利空；然后突破，回测，再站回大颈线都是强势表态。如果MAGNI 要转为多头，就必须要突破层层压力4.50，4.60，4.70，以目前保守来看还会有一段横盘在支撑 (4.10 ~ 4.20) 之上，否则，这都只是夹着财报的利多来做最后的投机炒作而已。



MAGNI return? In mid June, MAGNI fell below the big neckline, then it beginning two month sideways since early of July and breakout at 5/9/2016, but also back-tested at 15/09/2016 with the day that financial report is announced. Although today is stood above the neckline, but open high close low, from the technical point of view should be reach the short-term target price, so the big boss chose to arbitrage during this critical period.

Technically, this two-month sideways is symmetry with the small head pattern, thus can interpret as the small head is being offset; then breakthrough, back-tested, and stand back the big neckline which consider as a strong signal. So, If MAGNI wanted to twist it current trend into bullish, then it is necessary to break through all these layers of pressure 4.50,4.60,4.70. Therefore, from conservative point of view, there will have a sideways above the support (4.10 ~ 4.20) is expected. Otherwise, this is the last speculation activity.

Related
MAGNI's Beauty Is Fading Away

TA ANN, My Opinion

Gone through this week devastation, KLSE fell about 40 points, including TA ANN has also been fell below 3.44 during the trading day, but succeeded in closing above the support finally. Now, next week will be crucial weeks after FED 's decision-making meetings will influence to the cash flows and asset pricing, and thus will lead stock prices go to bearish direction.

In my opinion, TA ANN bullish structure has not been destroyed or said that has not yet appeared short trend, 3.44 is the support. If once fell below support, then will having a period of sideways with the support at 3.23, which also means that require patient again. Therefore, as long as do not fall below 3.23, the trend structure of TA ANN still unchanged. Currently, I still will remain TA ANN in hands, but hope TA ANN safety when facing the challenge for next week.


经历了这个礼拜的摧残，KLSE 跌了大概40 点，包挂TA ANN 的走势也曾经在盘中跌破支撑3.44，一度挑战颈线，但最后还是成功收在支撑之上。如今，下周将会是关键周，毕竟FED 的决策会议会对资金流向和资产定价产生巨大的影响，从而会对股价产生走空的方向。

我的看法，TA ANN 的多头结构还没有被破坏或则说还没有出现空头趋势，多头支撑 3.44 要守住，而且最理想是可以突破下斜趋势线。如果一旦跌破支撑，一段横盘又会出现了，支撑在 3.23，这也就意味了又需要消磨耐心。所以，只要不跌破3.23，TA ANN 的走势结构还是没有转空。目前只要趋势的结构没有改变，我依然会维持手上的部位，但是面临下周的挑战就希望TA ANN 可以平平安安。


Below here is the chart with more detail from my first TA ANN analysis.

Is AIRASIA Ready For Turbulence?

AIRASIA have a very string bull trend, raise three bands in a row, but it should need an temporarily adjustment. Since there is no stand above after fell back at 24/8/2016, and the high point is getting lower than previous, 2.84 will be the current support, once broken should be revised down to  2.63 - 2.69. Although I do not think this is a bearish trend yet, but I think should be aware of short term arbitrage from big player while any bad news release from the FED interest rate meeting.


AIRASIA 的多头趋势非常强劲，一连走出三个波段涨幅，但也应该暂时是需要修正了。
自24/8/2016 下挫以来就没有站回了，而且高点一个比一个底。目前的支撑大约在2.84，一旦跌破应该会下修到 2.63 - 2.69。虽然我还不认为是空头趋势，但是必须小心主力乘 FED 的利率会议带出的利空消息而出现短期套利。


Related
Can AIRASIA Keep Flying?

Good Or Bad KAWAN?

KAWAN is breakout today, so far target is 3.977, support at 3.65. Otherwise, if fall below 3.65, then support will come to 3.397. Technically, I think KAWAN will move inside the box about one and the half month  before said it is go strong or weak. Anyway, stay with the support regardless invest or speculate. 
So, "good friend" or "bad friend", let market give me the answer at October.


KAWAN 今天做了突破，目前的短期涨幅在3.977，支撑在3.65。反之，上涨乏力跌破3.65，支撑就会来到3.397。从技术上，我觉得在 KAWAN 表态前，将会有大概一个月半的走势。无论如何，进场布局还是短期投机，都必须要看好支撑。
“好友”还是“损友”？ 就让十月份的市场来告诉我吧。

Is TA ANN U Turn?

Is TA ANN U turn?
TA ANN second quarter financial report is below market expectation, and direct cause the price going down significantly, thus form a small head shape in technical analysis, and now 3.4 is my estimated downtrend target price. 

Currently, I predict at least it will have a two and half month sideways, because bearish structure is not destroy yet. So, TA ANN is U turn? I think now is too early to said, even though I still remain my previous view on TA ANN.


TA ANN 开始U Turn 了吗？
TA ANN 第二季度的财报低于市场预期，直接导致往上欲拉无力，翻转下杀然后在技术上形成了一个小头部，预测跌幅大概在3.4。

目前，我个人认为后续至少会有一段横盘走势，初步估计大概两个月半，毕竟多头结构还没有比破坏。所以，TA ANN 开始U Turn 了吗？我认为现在还言之过早，甚至我依然维持之前对TA ANN 大胆看多的看法。