AAX, Another Fake Breakout Again?

又一个假突破？
AAX 已经连续做了两次假突破，这次突然往上急拉，到底是多头启动？还是骗线出货？我个人的大胆看法是比较倾向后者，因为这次价涨量不跟，所以在这个动荡的时代，我觉得还是小心比较好。基本上，支撑在0.390，而压力目前就看0.440。

Another fake breakout?
AAX had make fake breakout twice before, and this time suddenly pull up, so whether is a bull engine kick start? or just a fake pull up? I am more into the second opinion, because the volume is not follow although the candle stick is so big, therefore I will be more careful when during uncertainty market. Basically, support at 0.390 and resistance so far is 0.440.

Update AAX Again and Again.

经过上周全球股市的大地震，AAX又重新回到了横盘区间形成了一个假突破，这一切也来得太快，而将我原本的获利吐了一大部分出来。如今，基于全球股市出现了大熊，连最强的上证指数也不能幸免，加上假突破的突显，我觉得应该也跟着减码或卖出以作为一种风险管控；0.375 会是这个强势横盘的关键支撑，一旦破线，这个强势横盘就将会宣告终结。

AAX Again, Again.

AAX Again 之后，AAX 如预期的突破了压力0.40，也一样突破层层压力0.41 和0.43 来到了0.435，目前短线支撑在0.430，支撑在0.41。这一次的带量突破，我觉得应该是可以来到小波段涨幅 0.46。如果没有明显的出货现象，我认为突破前高 0.50 的可能性是存在的。

*买卖自负。

AAX Again!

再战 AAX。
今年初AAX 重新站上了大约横盘21 个月的多空平台，只要不跌破这个平台的支撑，而这个翻转我会视为第一个多头迹象。

从日线来看，多头支撑在0.375，压力在0.40。相距了大概8个月后，这次又是我另一次再战AAX。

*买卖自负

What Next For AAX?

记得大概在二月初写过一篇关于 AAX 的分析 AAX Is Back On Track。
“将会有一段横盘整理，只要稳守在支撑，一旦挑战完成，往上就会是另一个大波段"。今天走势的结果跟预期没有什么大出入，但唯一不足的是最底挑战来到0.39，并不是之前提到的0.40，但无论如何却是从0.40 开始发动攻击，往上涨了大约25%。

如今接下来的问题就是AAX 何去何从？从周线来看，中期横盘整理了大概9个月之久，就在今年五月初突破前端高点0.495，压力变支，0.495 就成为多头支撑，只要能维持在0.495 支撑，我觉得短期内会有一个小震荡，然后接下来会是一个多头的走势，而突破0.60 就只是时间上的问题而已。

AAX Is Back On Track

有Tony 同在，AAX 重回到了轨道。
延续之前的分析 Is AAX On The Way To Hard Landing? 经历了18周的对称走势，AAX 在第19周K 转多，这也是在（日线）小波段跌幅到达后大约0.350，找到了止跌支撑，然后往上再多拉一个价位做支撑，最后突破下降轨道；我认为，自经历了先前这些的大气层干扰后，目前AAX 是进入了第二轮的多空调整，以0.40 为支撑逐步突破层层压力0.445 & 0.495。

在短线上，已经到达小波段涨幅，也许会有一小段的横盘整理；只要稳守支撑，一旦挑战完成，往上就会是另一个大波段。

With Tony, AAX is back on track.
Continue with previous post Is AAX On The Way To Hard Landing? After 18 month symmetric moving, AAX is turn to bullish at 19th week, whereby a support is found after reach downtrend target price about 0.350. I think after all these turbulence, AAX now is heading to second round adjustment, which is 0.40 as a major support for trying to breakthrough all the resistance at 0.445 & 0.495.

In short term, there might be a sideways while getting near to the first resistance 0.445; So long the support is steadily, then another uptrend again after all these challenge is accomplish. 

Is AAX On The Way To Hard Landing?

AAX 渡过了灾难的一周，这也许会被AAX 突然的下跌杀得措手不及，其实魔鬼藏在细节里，至于是那些细节，在之前的文章已经提过了，这里就不多细说。从日线图，16/11 的一根长红跌破了中期上升趋势线，然而就在18/11 也就是这周的最后一个交易日收高，以这样的走势对我而言看起来会比较像是逃命波，至于是否真的逃命，那就要看AAX在下一周的表现了，短期支撑在0.38。

A disaster week for AAX and this might surprised when it fell suddenly. But, the devils is hide in the details, as this has been mentioned in the previous post. From the daily chart, 16/11 AAX fell below the mid-term upward trend line, but it closed high in 18/11 which is the last trading day of this week. So, this is more likely an escape signal for me, but whether it really escape, then have to depends on the performance in next week, so short-term support at 0.38.

好了，如果这个真是逃命，那么又会逃到那边？从周线图来看，我认为会去到0.30 - 0.35 之间（波段跌幅到0.325）。然而，就周线的走势来看，这其实只是中期走势的横盘整理，而我觉得这个横盘走势还剩下6 - 8 个周。如果横盘是可以维持在短线支撑之上，那么就是属于强势整理，反之，就是弱势整理。

从月线图来看，重要支撑也是一样在0.325，那么0.325 是不能被跌破，如果价位继续再往下，恐怕连Tony 也要跳飞机，因为AAX  要硬着路了。

Well, where is the next support if this is an escape signal? I will think in the between of 0.30 - 0.35 (estimation target price is 0.325) if observe from weekly chart. However, this is looks like a sideways in mid-term trend and still have 6 - 8 week to go. So, If still able to maintain above the short-term support, then it will be a strong trend, otherwise it will be a weak trend.


From the monthly chart, the key support is the same in 0.325, but once broken, even Tony have to jump off the plane, because AAX is going to hard landing.

AAX, Mayday Mayday Mayday...

分析是一套，操作又是另外一套。
今天的AAX 直接跌破了关键支撑，连中期的上升趋势都被跌破，这样一来第二个假突破形成了。理性分析告诉我，在9/11 美国总统大选的大利空后隔了一天的交易日如果出现收黑，接下来的交易日就应该要套利了解。然而，操作上却附加了感性，“爱上”了AAX，出现了优柔寡断的行为，而导致了在AAX 由盈转亏。“在操作上，要如何完全依据分析的结果去执行？” 这个是我现在必须要思考和检讨的事情。

目前来看，两个假突破都寂静出现了，关键支撑和上升趋势线也被干掉，看来走空的几率大副提升，一旦跌破0.375，而下一个跌幅满足大约在0.325。如果走势开始止跌，也需要做一两个月的横盘整理，才有机会飞上云霄。

AAX Is Escape From Turbulence!?

AAX 终于冲出了气流层！
基本上就如之前文章中预期会在0.375 - 0.41 之间横盘大概一个月半，然后才做出多空表态。然而，就在横盘结束后，股价开始缓慢的往上盘，静静的做出了强势表态。今天的这一根带量突破是属于多头攻击，也就是强势表态，支撑目前就来到了0.41，而现在接下来就要看AAX 如何一步步去回补先前的跳空缺口了。技术上，起涨点 0.41 是不能跌破，否则整个上升趋势就会被破坏掉。


AAX is escape from turbulence finally!
Basically, this is as expected in previous post about AAX that either bull or bear trend will only declare after a sideways between 0.375 - 0.41 for one and the half month. So, after end of the sideways, the stock price is going up slowly and the trend is shown getting stronger. Today breakthrough with volume is consider as a bull attack, and support is come to 0.41, now next step is to see how AAX to cover the previous shortfall gap. Technically, 0.41 is cannot be broken, otherwise the uptrend will be destroyed.

  

AAX Hit To The Turbulence

AAX was impacted by strong turbulence.
Market sentiment is affected by Jackson Hole conference this Friday and causing short-term arbitrage in among of the stocks.
Today AAX fall below its second wave starting point 0.41, and I will set 0.375 is the next support. Currently, a war is between the long - short player, as long as support is not broken, AAX will having a sideways in the between 0.375 to 0.41 for about one and the half month, then the direction will be determine, otherwise, there is a risk to crash.


AAX 遭到了强劲气流的冲击。
市场的气氛受到这个礼拜五的Jackson Hole 会议，突然出现短期套利。
今天的AAX也跌破了它第二波的起涨点 0.41，而我会将下一个支撑设在0.375。目前多空主力互相交战，由多转盘，只要支撑不破，AAX 会在0.375 到 0.41 之间展开大概一个月半的横盘发展，然后才对多空作出表态，否则，就会有坠机的危险了。


Disclaimer

Please bare in mind that the stock market is full of risk, any forecasts and analysis has no guarantee can be made. 

AAX - Would You Miss The Second Flight Again?

I had been started to tracking the AAX since a month ago, and waiting for breakthrough patiently, but surprisingly it breakthrough aggressively. From weekly chart, we can see there is couple of pull up volume from big player, then proceed with the flag shape adjustment, finally make a breakthrough. So, this kind of trending structure, I can boldly predict that higher got another higher, which is the target price is about 0.61. Besides, if observe from daily chart, the resistance become support, thus the support is become 0.405, and the retracement support is 0.415. Anyway, I will closely monitoring.

Apart from this, AAX is the only left for aviation industry except the flying Air Asia in the KLSE. Therefore, base on these factor, I choice to on-board.


大概 一个月前就开始追踪了AAX，耐心的等待突破压力，但是却想像不到会以这样的方式做突破。从周线，可以看得见主力的推升量，然后配合旗形调整，再作出突破。以这样的走势结构，我大胆预测高点可以有更高点，那就是目前测出的波段涨幅大约 0.61。另外，从日线观察，压力变支撑，目前的多头支撑在 0.405，回测支撑在0.415。无论如何，我都会持续追踪。

另外，在整个KLSE 里，除了已经飞上天空的Air Asia，就只剩下AAX 而已。所以，基于这几个因素我选择了登机。

Disclaimer

Please bare in mind that the stock market is full of risk, any forecasts and analysis has no guarantee can be made.