You Will See 2000 Dollar Of GOLD

前这几天都在忙着空原油，并没有贴近关注黄金的走势。在四月13 号的那天突破了前高，今天继续收高，短线目标是1761。

我预测只要维持支撑1704，第二波段的目标是2000 了。

GOLD Will Rest Soon

看回以前我对黄金最后一篇的评论就是短空长多，毕竟当时看到的这个底部实在太大了，而目前最热门的投资方向就是黄金，哪怕是实体还是期货。

但是今天我要对黄金走势做出一个大胆的看法，就是我认为目前的黄金走势将会出现一个调整期，或者简单来说就是到了一个应该休息的阶段，因为这里就是 8 年前黄金时代的最价位区间，意味着许多被套的投资人终于盼到解套的机会了。所以，我认为一定会发生震荡，只有越过震荡才会有下一波段的涨幅。当然，我个人不会在这个区间进场（做多），免得被震出去。

GOLD Trend Update

在这里开始看多黄金，然而短期的走势却并没有符合我的预期。
从一个小时图来看，14/2 的一根带量将价位推向1348，然后在大约1350 以上横盘；突破1356 可是又跌破，一个假突破确立，接着又破颈线价位大约1350，也就是我看多的支撑。如今，两波段跌幅后，出现了一个止跌支撑大概 1328，后续多空就必须看能否稳在支撑。

期货操作上，由于我看多，但支撑设在1349，一旦跌破停损机制就必须马上执行；但另一方面，如果看到了假突破，可以反手做空。

从周线上，这看似是突破前端头部的震荡行为；所以，我认为目前的走势应该是短空长多，而1315 将会是关键支撑。至于是否对错，就让市场来告诉我吧！

GOLD Go Go

GOLD Go Go，黄金迎狗年。
回首这10 年的黄金走势，两年的头部，终于在2013 年崩盘，然后在大约1400 以下游走了将近5 年之久。在月线，目前突破了前端的高点大概 1350 来到1355左右，如果这个月可以收在1350 以上，突破就可以确认，而目标是大概1455。

对于黄金走势的看法，我个人是认为走多。从周线上来看，8月初开始突破下降趋势线，而且还一度挑战高点1366，虽然不成功，但回调却没有再度跌回下降趋势线，这次又再度重新挑战高点1366。

在期货的操作上，如果做多停损就在1349，短线目标大概1383。
但如果说黄金真的要来了，这是不是意味风险也跟着来了？

Will Crude Oil and Gold Hint The FED Decision?

Since about a month ago after Crude Oil - My Analysis, Operation, and Views, Brent Oil is station above 50USD and maintain sideways above the second support line. Same for WTI also reached my target price and then do sideways.

自從在我大概一個月前對油價的看法後 - Crude Oil - My Analysis, Operation, and Views，Brent Oil 就如預期的站上50USD，而且還在第二支撐線上做橫盤走勢。同樣的，WTI也到達了波段漲幅，然後做橫盤整理。

Now, Crude Oil is going to form a triangle pattern, go up or down? I think we will able to know at around mid of July, these also inline with the FED interest rate policy meeting in July as well. All the while, Inflation has been determined interest rate policy, while crude oil affects inflation and lastly all about the demand and supply. But, Operation Twist & QE is implemented since few years ago, plus extreme low/negative interest rate just to push inflation, thus the impact is become interest rate policy affects crude oil price. Moreover, Gold Spot is keep challenge previous high even since BREXIT, which I can see the high risk awareness is getting important. Through Crude Oil & Gold Spot trend, I guess the market is preparing for the next coming FED interest rate policy meeting. So, are you ready?

如今原油的走勢逐漸走向三角收斂，往上漲還是往下跌？我预计原油大概會在7月中旬左右表態，也配合了FED 在7 月的利率政策会议，因为一直以来通货膨胀决定了利率政策，而原油影响了通货膨胀，最后供需关系影响了原油；但是这几年来的逆向操作，大量宽松，为了拉动通货膨胀而不惜实行底/负利率，变成利率政策影响了原油走势。另外，黄金自从Brexit后的走势也不断的挑战前高，避险的意识非常重；原油，黄金的走势，我猜测市场正在为即将到来的FED 利率政策会议而做准备，你呢？

The Clue of Big Crash - Gold Spot

Early in the first quarter of 2014 when gold spot fell below the neckline, no more close monitoring after downtrend target price is drew.

早在2013 第一季当黄金跌破颈线，画了跌幅满足够就不再观察了。

Until recently the market (KLCI) and the global stock market crash then started to look back to the trend of gold spot, cause gold is the safe haven for all assets, discover that gold is breakthrough the uptrend support line, and entering a high band shock interval after all. 

Although it broke the second shock interval once before, but it took one trading day to recover and move above the support line, so this is means for the main force, also means big player is deploy since 8/2/2016, thus the starting point is won't broken easily.

Ironically, gold spot strong signal occurred in 3/6/2016, meanwhile KLCI is breakthrough the downtrend resistance line in the same day. Then, the next trading day 6/6/2016 KLCI rose about 12 point, and rose about 11 point at 7/7/2016. However, 8/6/2016 the market is stared to crash, but gold spot is rose about 15 point. Finally, KLCI bearish is confirm at 10/6/2016 which is the fake signal is formed after fall below the support! This is what I means Monday Blue? Black? After that, what happened is the market collapse. Frankly, 7 days closing with a black candle stick continuously and decline almost 50 points,  if this is not a bearish, then what is so-called bearish? Some more KLCI break the support by today.


直到近期大盘(KLCI) 和全球股市崩盘，才翻看回黄金的走势，毕竟黄金是所有资产的避风港，发现黄金在 2月8号时突破了上升趋势支撑线，从此以后就一直在高档盘震 。

虽然曾经一度跌破第二震荡区间的支撑线，但是却用了一天交易日的时间站上支撑线上，这个就是主力的力量，也代表主力从 8/2/2016 开始布局了，必然主力不会轻易让起涨点被跌破。

讽刺的是，黄金的专强讯号是发生在3/6/2016，而当天KLCI 还突破了下降压力线，然后下一个交易日 6/6/2016 大涨大约12 点，然后7/6/2016 涨大约11 点。然而，8/6/2016 就是崩盘的开始也就是黄金出现拉高收盘。最后，在10/6/2016 KLCI 正式跌破支撑而形成假讯号也代表空头确立！而就是我称为的黑色星期五；之后所发生的事情就是我们所见到的崩盘。坦白说，一连7 天收黑还跌了将近50 点，如果这个不是空头，什么才叫做空头？而且今天的KLCI 收盘还直接跌破支撑线。

Gold? Still rose until today! So, I believe the foreign investor is really amazing, pull up KLCI a bit, buy short options, then use the big event - BREXIT - in this month to make the market collapse, then earn from gold & options. So, I am learn from this incident, if wanted to become the top analyst, then is a must to conduct a comprehensive analysis to all the financial market, so that a bigger picture can puzzled in the financial market. 

而黄金呢？就一直连续涨到今天！所以，我相信外资真的好厉害，先拉KLCI 涨一点，部空KLCI期权, 然后利用这个月的题材 - BREXIT - 来杀个片甲不留，大赚黄金和期权。这次的事件让我领悟了一样东西，如果要成为一个顶尖的分析师，就必须要对所有的金融市场进行全面的分析，这样才能够拥有一个全球金融市场的大图像。