Friday, 23 September 2016

TA ANN, Come On!



TA ANN 今天终于突破了下降趋势线 (a),也意外的一口气站上了3.57 收在3.60,回补了13/9 和 21/9的空方攻击。这也许是主力的信心在FED 利率决策会议出炉后,扫除了市场的不确定性而开始回稳了;此外,也加上棕油期货走强的因素从而带动这次的涨幅。但是,唯一的不足就是不带量,也许这个日后需要多注意。

在技术上,既然站得上就别破线,目前支撑提升到3.57,或则保守点支撑可以设在3.52。操作方面我依然是维持手上的部位,不会做任何的加码动作,直到突破3.70。


TA ANN finally broke the downtrend line (a), surprisingly stood above 3.57 and close at 3.60, thus covering the short side attack on 13/9 and 21/9. Perhaps, big player confident is regain through the uncertainty is removed after the FED interest rate decision is released; besides, the strong trend of Bursa Malaysia Palm Oil Plantation Index is an additional factor too. But the only downside is without high volume, probably an extra precaution is require in the future.

Technically, support 3.57 cannot be destroy, or support at 3.52 for more conservative. In Operation wise, I still maintain my current stock position, then overweight once breakthrough 3.70.




Related
TA ANN Bull Run Is Starting Up?!
Is TA ANN U Turn?
TA ANN, My Opinion
TA ANN, My Update

Thursday, 22 September 2016

Good Or Bad KAWAN? Will Know After a Breakout Of 4.00



好“朋友”还是坏“朋友”?近期KAWAN 的走势看起来很强劲,自5/9 突破了下降趋势线 (a),回测在 3.73 价位,然后今天突破前高 (不以上影线来测)收在 3.93。保守预测,目前应该会在 3.89 附近做个小整理区间,最后突破压力线展开多头旅程。

在操作上,5/9 的突破点和回测点都是我的进场时间点,支撑就设在3.726,然后等待最后的突破在4.00 之处做加码动作。然而,必须注意3.975,以防到达了波段涨幅后,“朋友” 翻脸走人。 所以,主力是我们的好“朋友”还是坏“朋友”? 看来只有突破了4.00 才可以确认。 


Good Or Bad KAWAN? KAWAN trend seems very strong recently, since 5/9 breakthrough the downtrend line (a), then back tested at 3.73, and today surpass previous high (not measure the shadow) by closed at 3.93. Conservatively forecast, there should be a minor range of consolidation zone around 3.89, and then breakthrough the final resistance to start the bullish journey.

In operation, 5/9 breakthrough and back-tested both is the buy timing for me, and set the support at 3.726, then overweight after the final resistance 4.00 is breakthrough. However, we must be pay extra precaution at 3.975, just in case KAWAN make a U-turn after the target price is reached. So, whether big player is our Good Or Bad KAWAN? It seems like only can confirm after a breakout of 4.00.


Wednesday, 21 September 2016

TA ANN, My Update



今天的TA ANN 收得让我有点失望,不止突破不了下降趋势线 (a),而且还要一天就跌破了从14/9 一连三天的推升段,然而这次是否能再重演1/9 和 2/9 时的翻转讯号? 那就必须要看明天主力的心情了。

在技术上,目前的走势的确有点弱势,但还不至于断定转为空头趋势,只是又再度的进入了横盘状态如果一旦跌破3.44。在操作上,如果出现了小破线,都需要特别注意部位的调整以确保组合还是在安全边际的范围内,毕竟安全第一。


Today TA ANN closing makes me a little disappointment, not only could not break the downward trend line (a), but also fall below the short term support 3.48, which is the push-up segment since 14/9, however, whether the reversal signal (like 1/9 & 2/9) will be repeated again? Then, we will see by tomorrow.


Technically, the current trend was a little weak, but bearish trend is still early to judge; once again, it will entered into sideways if fell below 3.44. In operation wise, once a break line, then an extra precaution is require to adjust the position to ensure the margin of safety is fulfilled, because of safety first.


Related
TA ANN Bull Run Is Starting Up?!
Is TA ANN U Turn?
TA ANN, My Opinion






Tuesday, 20 September 2016

MAGNI Return?


“美女”回头?在六月中旬跌破大颈线的 MAGNI,然后从七月初开始盘了两个月在九月初5/9/2016 做突破,而且还一度在15/09/2016回测反弹,配合了当天财报利多消息。虽然今天直接站回大颈线之上,但是却开高走低,技术上来看应该是到达了短期的波段涨幅,主力选择在这段非常期间做短期套利。

在技术上,这个两个月的横盘刚好对称了小头部的盘头时间,或可以解读为消化了小头部的利空;然后突破,回测,再站回大颈线都是强势表态。如果MAGNI 要转为多头,就必须要突破压力4.50,4.60,4.70,以目前保守来看还会有一段横盘在支撑 (4.10 ~ 4.20) 之上,否则,这都只是夹着财报的利多来做最后的投机炒作而已



MAGNI return? In mid June, MAGNI fell below the big neckline, then it beginning two month sideways since early of July and breakout at 5/9/2016, but also back-tested at 15/09/2016 with the day that financial report is announced. Although today is stood above the neckline, but open high close low, from the technical point of view should be reach the short-term target price, so the big boss chose to arbitrage during this critical period.

Technically, this two-month sideways is symmetry with the small head pattern, thus can interpret as the small head is being offset; then breakthrough, back-tested, and stand back the big neckline which consider as a strong signal. So, If MAGNI wanted to twist it current trend into bullish, then it is necessary to break through all these layers of pressure 4.50,4.60,4.70. Therefore, from conservative point of view, there will have a sideways above the support (4.10 ~ 4.20) is expected. Otherwise, this is the last speculation activity.




Related
MAGNI's Beauty Is Fading Away










Friday, 16 September 2016

TA ANN, My Opinion


Gone through this week devastation, KLSE fell about 40 points, including TA ANN has also been fell below 3.44 during the trading day, but succeeded in closing above the support finally. Now, next week will be crucial weeks after FED 's decision-making meetings will influence to the cash flows and asset pricing, and thus will lead stock prices go to bearish direction.

In my opinion, TA ANN bullish structure has not been destroyed or said that has not yet appeared short trend, 3.44 is the support. If once fell below support, then will having a period of sideways with the support at 3.23, which also means that require patient again. Therefore, as long as do not fall below 3.23, the trend structure of TA ANN still unchanged. Currently, I still will remain TA ANN in hands, but hope TA ANN safety when facing the challenge for next week.


经历了这个礼拜的摧残,KLSE 跌了大概40 点,包挂TA ANN 的走势也曾经在盘中跌破支撑3.44,一度挑战颈线,但最后还是成功收在支撑之上。如今,下周将会是关键周,毕竟FED 的决策会议会对资金流向和资产定价产生巨大的影响,从而会对股价产生走空的方向。

我的看法,TA ANN 的多头结构还没有被破坏或则说还没有出现空头趋势,多头支撑 3.44 要守住,而且最理想是可以突破下斜趋势线。如果一旦跌破支撑,一段横盘又会出现了,支撑在 3.23,这也意味了又需要消磨耐心。所以,只要不跌破3.23,TA ANN 的走势结构还是没有转空。目前只要趋势的结构没有改变,我依然会维持手上的部位,但是面临下周的挑战就希望TA ANN 可以平平安安。


Below here is the chart with more detail from my first TA ANN analysis.








Monday, 12 September 2016

Is AIRASIA Ready For Turbulence?


AIRASIA have a very string bull trend, raise three bands in a row, but it should need an temporarily adjustment. Since there is no stand above after fell back at 24/8/2016, and the high point is getting lower than previous, 2.84 will be the current support, once broken should be revised down to  2.63 - 2.69. Although I do not think this is a bearish trend yet, but I think should be aware of short term arbitrage from big player while any bad news release from the FED interest rate meeting.


AIRASIA 的多头趋势非常强劲,一连走出三个波段涨幅,但也应该暂时是需要修正了。
自24/8/2016 下挫以来就没有站回了,而且高点一个比一个底。目前的支撑大约在2.84,一旦跌破应该会下修到 2.63 - 2.69。虽然我还不认为是空头趋势,但是必须小心主力乘 FED 的利率会议带出的利空消息而出现短期套利。


Related
Can AIRASIA Keep Flying?




Monday, 5 September 2016

Good Or Bad KAWAN?


KAWAN is breakout today, so far target is 3.977, support at 3.65. Otherwise, if fall below 3.65, then support will come to 3.397. Technically, I think KAWAN will move inside the box about one and the half month  before said it is go strong or weak. Anyway, stay with the support regardless invest or speculate. 
So, "good friend" or "bad friend", let market give me the answer at October.


KAWAN 今天做了突破,目前的短期涨幅在3.977,支撑在3.65。反之,上涨乏力跌破3.65,支撑就会来到3.397。从技术上,我觉得在 KAWAN 表态前,将会有大概一个月半的走势。无论如何,进场布局还是短期投机,都必须要看好支撑。
“好友”还是“损友”? 就让十月份的市场来告诉我吧。


Thursday, 1 September 2016

Is TA ANN U Turn?


Is TA ANN U turn?
TA ANN second quarter financial report is below market expectation, and direct cause the price going down significantly, thus form a small head shape in technical analysis, and now 3.4 is my estimated downtrend target price. 

Currently, I predict at least it will have a two and half month sideways, because bearish structure is not destroy yet. So, TA ANN is U turn? I think now is too early to said, even though I still remain my previous view on TA ANN.


TA ANN 开始U Turn 了吗?
TA ANN 第二季度的财报低于市场预期,直接导致往上欲拉无力,翻转下杀然后在技术上形成了一个小头部,预测跌幅大概在3.4。

目前,我个人认为后续至少会有一段横盘走势,初步估计大概两个月半,毕竟多头结构还没有比破坏。所以,TA ANN 开始U Turn 了吗?我认为现在还言之过早,甚至我依然维持之前对TA ANN 大胆看多的看法。


What If SUPERMAX Go Below 3.00?

 I know this is a bit crazy... and definitely not a majority favourite... But I will let market to slap my face.