PADINI, Here Comes a Bear

近期PADINI 开始转弱，短线支撑来到2.86，一旦跌破，狼这次就应该真的来了，而这波的多头行情就是时候宣布结束。

PADINI turn weak recently, and I will set 2.86 as the current support, once broken then consider the bull run is going to the end soon. 

目前PADINI 的走势基本上符合了我在 PADINI TA - Now and Future 的预期，不管从日线，周线还是月线都已经到达了波段涨幅区间大约2.80，虽然价位屡创新高，量却是收缩，所以必须额外小心，而我大胆估计上升趋势已经差不多走到了尽头，而即将进入一个大幅度震荡的区间，也许是筑一个头部区，或大区间的调整也说不定。无论如何，如果在波段涨幅满足后仍继续追价，这只会将自身的风险大幅提升。

在操作上，中短期策略我都会选择在到达了涨幅满足后就获利了解，毕竟没有人可以真正卖在最高的价位，除非你是造市者。


So far, PADINI trend is still meet my expectation in PADINI TA - Now and Future, regardless from daily, weekly or monthly chart, the target price about 2.8 is reached, although it keep break the record high, but the volume is decreasing, so extra cautions is needed, and now I dare to predict that the uptrend is almost come to the end, next is about to enter a substantial shock interval, perhaps building a head or a big adjustment. No matter how, this is not advisable to buy in after the target price is reached, because this will going to increase the risk itself.

In mid & short term operation, I will choose to arbitrage right after reaching the target price, because no one can really sell at the highest price, unless you are the market maker.

KAWAN Is On Fire

朋友告急！
自KAWAN 站上了3.26，就开始大幅度震荡了大概两个月，但是却多番都越不过前头部的右肩。尤其是在最近期的挑战失败后直接跌破短线支撑 3.65（支撑 1），在时间框作出弱势表态。如果下一个交易日站不上支撑 （支撑 1），那么就直接看3.57 （支撑 2）。在我的看法，如果连支撑 1 都站不上，就已经表示了短期走空，主力做了短期套利。

目前KAWAN 的走势这也符合了我在 My Views On The Future Trend of KAWAN 的预期，毕竟这两个月的大幅震荡，并不是一般人可以承受的。虽然看似短期走空，但还不能断定是长空趋势，必须持续观察，因为KAWAN 第二季的财报即将在这个8 月尾出炉。所以，可以肯定的是我不会选择在这个时间进场。

KAWAN is on fire!
Since KAWAN stood above 3.26,  then it started substantial oscillating for about 2 month, but still unable to surpass the head of the right shoulder. Especially after the failure from the most recent challenge directly fall below the support 3.65 (支撑 1), and made vulnerable position right after the symmetric time frame. If still unable to stand above the support 1 on the next trading day, else next support will go to (支撑 2). In my view, this is not optimistic if the support 1 is fail to sustain.


Currently, KAWAN trend is still meet my view in My Views On The Future Trend of KAWAN. Although short term seem bearish, but still need continue to observe before conclude it is a long term bear run as of the KAWAN second quarter financial report is upcoming soon by end of August. Therefore, now is not the suitable time for me to play yet.

Related
KAWAN Mean Friendship Forever?
My Views On The Future Trend of KAWAN

TA ANN Bull Run Is Starting Up?!

Actually, I am not the fans of Palm Oil stock, because the Malaysia Palm Oil Index (FBMPALMOIL) trend is not optimistic, but I notice that TA ANN righting strong signal (翻强讯号) at about end of July, and then made a show a positive side in the symmetric time frame (时间框对称), then breakthrough the resistance. Although short term target is reached currently, the support came to 3.52, but I think TA ANN bulls will not just ended like that, conversely, as long as the support is not broken, I will be bold estimate this is the TA ANN bullish trend. 

其实之前我都蛮不看好油棕股，因为当时FBMPALMOIL 大马油棕指数的走势并不乐观，但是却在大约7 月尾时注意到TA ANN 出现翻强讯号，然后也在对等的时间框作出了强势的表态，之后就突破阻力上涨。虽然目前的短期满足已经到达，支撑来到3.52，但是我却认为TA ANN 的多头不会就这样结束，相反，只要能维持在支撑，这次我大胆点预估这个将会是TA ANN 的主升段。

1700

After the BREXIT, KLSE still able to stabilized, then the trend brewing for some time, and now waiting for the final breakthrough. Once breakthrough, I believe 1700 is not a mission impossible. "God wants you to destroy, they first make you crazy", if the crash is unavoidable, then I am waiting for the final uptrend!

经过了BREXIT 的洗礼，还能回稳；然后酝酿了一段时间的走势，最后等待的是突破阻力。一旦突破，我相信1700 应该是可以期待。“上帝要你灭亡，必先让你疯狂”， 如果这一场崩盘是无可避免，那么就痛痛快快涨多一波吧！

SAM Engineering TA - Buy High Or Buy Low?

Recently a friend asked about my opinion on SAM Engineering, so here is my TA analysis for this popular stock since I am free tonight.

According from daily chart, the former high (point B) could not break the record high (point A), and the price is fell down continuously, so short-term support now is about 7.295. Currently, it is high possibility heading to the neckline if the short term support is fail to defend, and then a bigger head pattern will form if observe from weekly chart, and 6.00 is the support for the neckline, once broken consider bearish is confirm.

In short, I am not that optimistic regardless from daily or weekly chart, as we always buy low, not buy high, so I do think the best choice so far is keep monitoring closely, because I would rather miss and not to make a mistake.

近期有位朋友问我对SAM Engineering 的看法，难得今晚空闲就对这档热门股做了分析。

从日线来看，前高（B点）突破不了历史高点 （A 点），然后又连接往下杀，短线支撑大概在7.295。目前如果灌破就有很大的可能性来到颈线，就会在周线中形成一个大头部，而这个颈线的支撑大概是6.00，一旦跌破空头就确立。

无论从日线还是周线来看都并不是那么乐观，股票永远是买在底部，而不是买在头部，所以我认为目前最好是应该持续观望，宁愿错过也不愿作错。

PANAMY The Next Record High Is Reached

After about 2 month of deliberation, this heavyweight stocks finally start its main section of the bullish trend finally. Now, PANAMY has reached the target price, and I will operate on short-term arbitrage because the big head pattern will start building right after the zone above the target price, and the risk is increase greatly, after all the bullish trend is ended with big head pattern most of the time. Rather miss than done wrong, so I won't suggest to buy in at this moment unless someone who are willing to buy with higher price.   


经过大约两个月的酝酿，这档重量级股票终于如预期中走出一个多头趋势，而这个也是PANAMY 的主升段。如今，PANAMY 已经到达了大波段的涨幅满足，中短期操作上我都会套利，因为在涨幅满足之上都是筑大头部的区间，相对的风险也大副提升，毕竟主升段都是以一个大规模的头部来结束。宁可错过也不可作错，所以我都不会建议在这个时候进场，除非你想在高档区接我的货。

Related 
PANAMY The Next Record High
PANAMY The Next Record High - My Review

PADINI TA - Now and Future

PADINI is stand on the neckline without adjustment after fall below the neckline due to BREXIT day, and the short atmosphere eliminated directly by this action. So, the neckline is turn into adjustment interval a & b, this can be seen as an adjustment before bullish. Breakthrough point a, then goes up after retracement, the first support is established at 2.37; Then breakthrough point c as the confirmation of bullish trend, support increase up to 2.49. So, all these are the standard behavior of a strong trend. Therefore, I predict 2.715 is the next short term target price.    

PADINI 破了颈线不须调整就直接站上颈线，将空头氛围给消灭，由空转多，颈线就转变成双轨下调区间 a & b，可以看成多头调整或多空交叉。突破了a，回测又上涨，第一多头支撑建立在2.37；然后突破 c 多头确立，支撑提升到2.49。这些都是强势股的标准行为，而这一波我预计可以看得到大概2.715。

From monthly chart, PADINI is breakthrough the historical high now and the target price is about 2.8 and 2.345 is the support for this strong trend. If I am not mistaken, there will be a sideways or ramp shape adjustment, then again to rise over 2.8 until it begin to build a larger head pattern to put this bullish trend to the end. 

以月线来看现在是已经突破了历史高点，波段计算是可以预计涨到2.8，而如今的多头支撑是2.345。我如果没有看错，日后的走势会有一段横盘或下斜调整，然后又再上涨越过 2.8 直到开始盘头，最后会做一个更大的头部以结束这波的多头趋势。

Is TUNEPRO Turn!

Is TUNEPRO Turn?
Is TUNEPRO Turn Weak?
TUNEPRO Reviews

Is TUNEPRO Turn!
TUNEPRO sideways for about 2 months, finally breakthrough the resistance and current support is about 1.58. Actually, TUNEPRO is suitable for mid-long term strategy which I always thought before, because the patient from short term strategy will ease away by large range of pricing consolidation. Now, the base is complete, I predict this is the bullish trend and every retracement is the buy opportunity. Again, a long wait breakthrough is came finally, so don't let me down.


期盼了许久的突破终于来了。
TUNEPRO 横盘整理了大约两个月，终于突破了大压力线，支撑建立在大约1.58。TUNEPRO 其实是属于一档中长期策略的股，也就是我之前一直认为的，因为短期策略的耐心会被大区间的横盘价格整理而消磨掉。如今大底部已经完成，我认为会走一个多头格局，凡是回调都是买进的时机。再次想说，期盼了许久的突破终于来了，希望别让我失望。

UEMS, MINHO, IVORY & PADINI - The Post BREXIT Comment

UEMS 如预期的横盘了大约一个月左右，然后顺道在BNM 宣布调降OPR 后以突破压力线作出了表态。虽然突破了压力线，但是能否突破前面的假讯号才是关键点；而今天微跌到底是做回测还是又多一个假突破讯号？就看这几天的交易日了。

相比之下，MINHO 的走势来得更强，自BREXIT 的大利空后由多转盘，但是横盘整理的时间比UEMS 还短，然后就一路向北，这也就是有在 UEMS & MINHO Is Looks Black Too 里提过的主力始终都欲在一连串的企业活动中推动股价。所以，有主力的果然就是不一样。

基本上 IVORY 如果站不上颈线，我的看法依然维持 Sorry, I Still Don't think So，而且还留了一个非常长的上影线。所以，目前我预计会有一段横盘的发展以抵消空头氛围。

PADINI, 我低估了主力要卫捍多头局势的决心，就算利空破颈线，不做调整直接拉上颈线。既然如此，也必须尊重市场的意愿，如果前高挑战成功，那么下一个挑战就是 2.80 了。


Related Post

Is PADINI Raising or Fallen?
PADINI & IVORY Still Continue The Path To Glorious?
UEMS & MINHO Is Looks Black Too
PADINI & IVORY Still Continue The Path To Glorious? Sorry, I Don't Think So.

Will Crude Oil and Gold Hint The FED Decision?

Since about a month ago after Crude Oil - My Analysis, Operation, and Views, Brent Oil is station above 50USD and maintain sideways above the second support line. Same for WTI also reached my target price and then do sideways.

自從在我大概一個月前對油價的看法後 - Crude Oil - My Analysis, Operation, and Views，Brent Oil 就如預期的站上50USD，而且還在第二支撐線上做橫盤走勢。同樣的，WTI也到達了波段漲幅，然後做橫盤整理。

Now, Crude Oil is going to form a triangle pattern, go up or down? I think we will able to know at around mid of July, these also inline with the FED interest rate policy meeting in July as well. All the while, Inflation has been determined interest rate policy, while crude oil affects inflation and lastly all about the demand and supply. But, Operation Twist & QE is implemented since few years ago, plus extreme low/negative interest rate just to push inflation, thus the impact is become interest rate policy affects crude oil price. Moreover, Gold Spot is keep challenge previous high even since BREXIT, which I can see the high risk awareness is getting important. Through Crude Oil & Gold Spot trend, I guess the market is preparing for the next coming FED interest rate policy meeting. So, are you ready?

如今原油的走勢逐漸走向三角收斂，往上漲還是往下跌？我预计原油大概會在7月中旬左右表態，也配合了FED 在7 月的利率政策会议，因为一直以来通货膨胀决定了利率政策，而原油影响了通货膨胀，最后供需关系影响了原油；但是这几年来的逆向操作，大量宽松，为了拉动通货膨胀而不惜实行底/负利率，变成利率政策影响了原油走势。另外，黄金自从Brexit后的走势也不断的挑战前高，避险的意识非常重；原油，黄金的走势，我猜测市场正在为即将到来的FED 利率政策会议而做准备，你呢？

MAGNI's Beauty Is Fading Away

Nothing will last forever.
MAGNI is fall below the neckline finally after the head is formed about half year more, so far it reach the short term downtrend target price, but I predict the downtrend target price corresponding to the head is about 3.53; maybe a rebound will occur, but this will consider as an escape signal if unable to stand above the neckline. So, whether will having another bearish trend again, then need to keep monitor closely, but at least the current price is not my favor.

花无百日红，“美女”也会有衰老的一天。
盘了大约半年多的头部，也终于破颈线，目前是满足了小头部的跌幅，但是预计这波大头部的跌幅会到大约3.53；也许会有反弹波，但只要越不过颈线都是逃命波的一种。至于以后会不会再有多头行情，那就必须持续观察，至少现在这个价位并不是我心中的安全位置。