16/11 的一根开高走底，基于周边环境的影响而导致一连4 个交易日的下跌，然而我依然维持部位，因为分析告诉我答案会在周线里。这一连4 个交易日的下跌，让TA ANN 跌回关键支撑之下（正确来说是第二关键支撑），之后就在整理区的起涨点找到支撑，开始就逐步往上爬直到今天重新站上第二关键支撑。
(1) 9/11 的美国总统大选的大利空后，不跌反涨。
(2) 底部规模远大于头部。
以上的这两个因素而让我确定答案就在周线里。
然后，再配合(3) 回测起涨点支撑和(4)周K 也正式收在第二关键支撑之上，就这四点让我决定再度加码在3.70。目前来看，日和周K 线都已经站在第二关键支撑之上，下一个需要观察的就是月K 的表现了，也就是下个礼拜 28, 29 & 30 的交易日能否维持在第二关键支撑之上；短线压力在3.85。
TA ANN is open high close low at 16/11 and then continue to close low in the four subsequent trading day due to the uncertainty from money market, and this make TA ANN is fell below the key support again (to be exact, it should the second key support), until it found support at 3.63 which is the breakout point from the previous consolidation zone. After that, TA ANN is gradually going up and stood above the second key support again.
(1) TA ANN is resist to fell after the big surprise from the US Presidential Election.
(2) Base structure is more bigger than head structure.
These 2 factor determined the answer is from weekly chart. Then, with the (3) back tested at support 3.63, and (4) TA ANN is stand above the second key support in weekly chart. Therefore, I am decided to overweight again at 3.70. So far, the next challenge will be in monthly chart, which is for the three following days in next week whether still maintain above the second key support; short term resistance is at 3.85.
在技术上，我认为只要日和周K 都站稳在第二关键支撑之上，那么3.70 以下的形态就变成了一个底部，以支撑TA ANN 在第二阶段的走势。这个第二阶段的走势将会游走在第二支撑和压力区之间（保守估计大概半年之久），在月线图会看得更明显 （a 和 c 之间），一旦可以突破层层压力，那么就是一个多头行情的开始了。
操作上，就我常说的回测支撑永远都是最好的买点，如果想要买进的投资者，可以等待回测第二关键支撑时才做进场的动作。无论如何，都请看好支撑和压力，进场前也必须了解自身的风险承担能力。
Technically, I think as long as the candlestick from daily and weekly chart is still stand above the second key support, then the structure below 3.70 will become a foundation, to support TA ANN trend in phase 2. The phase 2 will be moving in the between of second key support & pressure zone, this will be more obvious in monthly chart (between a & c line). So, bullish is expected if successful breakout from pressure zone.
Operation wise, I often said, retracement is always the best buy timing. Anyway, must always eye on the support and resistance, and please understand the risk capacity before entering the market.
周线图
月线图
以下更新：
股价反应未来，在16/11 开始的一连四个交易日下跌除了周边环境的影响，也许是连带反应了即将在 21/11 推出的第三季度财报会比去年同期的EPS 来得差（下跌了大概23%）；然而在22/11 就开始止跌上涨，这也反应了TA ANN 的利空出尽，市场对TA ANN 的未来开始乐观，毕竟这个第三季度的财报在目前来说表现也不算差。
下图是 FCPO的周线图。
在2016 年初走势开始突破了长天期下降趋势，然后７月份回测支撑成功，第一关键支撑确立。随后在八，九月分虽然一度失败挑战压力线 1，然而在11 月初一根长K 直接挑战成功（注：在月线图上，压力线1是一个头部颈线）。如今压力线 1 成为第二关键支撑，而目前短期支撑在2910，涨幅目标可以去到大概3221。
基于以上这两点，让我确定了之前对TA ANN 的看法和布局是正确的。但无论如何，一旦到达了目标价格后就必须小心回调的压力。
Updated:
The future is always reflected in stock price, perhaps, TA ANN sliding down in last week is reflect to the coming release of third quarter report is as not expected, which is the EPS is reduce if comparing to the same quarter last year. However, rebound is started at 22/11, this may reflect all the bad news is running out, and market is optimistic to TA ANN future, in fact, the third quarter report is not really that bad too.
Observe from FCPO chart, in early of 2016, trend is began to break through the long-term decline line, and then it back-tested successfully in July then the first key support line is establish. Although it fail to challenge the resistance line 1 in August and September, however, a nice breakout in November (resistance line 1 is actually a neckline if observe in monthly chart), So, now the second key support is establish, short term support at 2910 and target price is 3221.
Therefore, based on these 2 factor I will think my analysis is still valid, but no matter how, please be aware from the pressure of retracement once the target price is reached.
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