MAGNI Technical Review

MAGNI 跌。
接盘的主力乘不理想的财报来砸盘，带量跌空下杀，一口气跌了超过10%。
其实自去年（相关文章）有开始看空直到最近的 MAGNI Return!?，然而在去年14/12 的爆量后，完成了扭转三部曲，视为主力换手，当时4.66 就是主力做多支撑，最后也就如预计的多拉了一个波段（顺便恭喜可以捉到这个波段又可以全身而退的投资者）。

从日线来看，早在8月尾头部就开始形成，间中还爆了两次量，价却越不过，这些都是主力拉高来出货，原以为还可以看到红K 棒划破颈线的时刻，但这次主力就直接杀个措手不及。

MAGNI 后续我觉得会有一个大幅度的横盘震荡，颈线7.15 是这次扭转的压力，大约6.08 左右是目前这次跌幅的满足点，而这个期间也许会有高手进场捉反弹来投机。但基本上 MAGNI 的一个多头波段已经结束了，即将进入空头趋势；如果要 MAGNI 由空转多，一切都必须等到站上颈线才来说。

MAGNI Return!?

MAGNI 扭转！MAGNI 真的是完成了这扭转三部曲：(1) 稳在支撑4.04，(2) 然后突破下降趋势线，(3) 最后突破4.66。这对照我之前看空来说，头部的多空扭转真的让我感到折服。

有主力操盘，说扭转就扭转，一口气一连两个交易日做突破将价位推高了约15% （后面追价的小户需要溢价15% 来进场），摆脱大头部的结构，将股价推往历史新高。从分析上来看，我觉得14/12/2016 的巨量，应该是被另一个主力吃下去，多空翻转，就在16 & 17 号放量上涨突破。如今高档量缩，主力手握涨跌大权，而等待的就是下一轮出现量价同步。

目前来看，只要守住多头支撑4.66，要在Q3 出台之前(三月中旬) 拉到5.00 以上不会是一个问题。相反，一旦失守，一个更大的头又出现了。

无论如何，我不会进场。以目前走势来看，既然在14/12/2016 跌不破，4.66 是主力做多的支撑，除非主力满足于15% 的利润，否则后面接盘的主力都会再做多一波，才去砸盘。

MAGNI is Getting Farther Away (更新)

在周线图，一个三角形态的头部从2016 年初盘到年中，然后宣告跌破颈线看似会去满足头部跌幅；然而就在大概3.78 的价位止跌，然后翻转站上4.00，最后横盘在4.04 的价位支撑。可是，这从整体上来看，依然还是盘走在头部架构内（而且还是一个比先前更大的头部）。如果要扭转，就必须(1) 稳在支撑4.04，(2) 然后突破下降趋势线，(3) 最后突破4.66。至于多空，我想在下一个季度的财报出炉之前会表态。

MAGNI is Getting Farther Away

“美女”好像越走越远。
在之前的分析已经提过，如果MAGNI要转为多头，就必须突破层层压力 4.50，4.60，4.70；反之，这都是夹着财报的利多来做最后的投机炒作而已。自MAGNI 盘上大概4.00 左右的价位，就开始了做高档震荡，而且高点一个比一个低，这个多为头部结构。今天，MAGNI 在高档巨量开高走低，真的让我感到惊讶，难道又有人“早知道”？

目前来说，短线支撑在4.03，而3.80 就是大颈线。如果跌破大颈线，那么就不幸被我言中，下杀的速度会很快，任何反弹皆逃命；否则就当我在吹水算了。无论明日走势如何，请看好支撑和风险管控。


MAGNI is getting farther away.
I had did the relevant analysis in previous post, If MAGNI wanted to twist it current trend into bullish, then it is necessary to break through all these layers of pressure 4.50, 4.60, 4.70, otherwise, this is the last speculation activity. MAGNI is had a sideways at top since it climb up 4.00, but the high point is getting lower than the previous, this is more likely a head structure. However, I am surprisingly that MAGNI is open high close low with huge volume by today, so does it means someone "know earlier"?

Currently, the support is 4.03, and 3.80 is the neckline. Once the neckline is broken, any rebound is the chances to escape, otherwise, just assume it is a joke. Anyway, please watch out the support and risk.

MAGNI Return?

“美女”回头？在六月中旬跌破大颈线的 MAGNI，然后从七月初开始盘了两个月在九月初5/9/2016 做突破，而且还一度在15/09/2016回测反弹，配合了当天财报利多消息。虽然今天直接站回大颈线之上，但是却开高走低，技术上来看应该是到达了短期的波段涨幅，主力选择在这段非常期间做短期套利。

在技术上，这个两个月的横盘刚好对称了小头部的盘头时间，或可以解读为消化了小头部的利空；然后突破，回测，再站回大颈线都是强势表态。如果MAGNI 要转为多头，就必须要突破层层压力4.50，4.60，4.70，以目前保守来看还会有一段横盘在支撑 (4.10 ~ 4.20) 之上，否则，这都只是夹着财报的利多来做最后的投机炒作而已。



MAGNI return? In mid June, MAGNI fell below the big neckline, then it beginning two month sideways since early of July and breakout at 5/9/2016, but also back-tested at 15/09/2016 with the day that financial report is announced. Although today is stood above the neckline, but open high close low, from the technical point of view should be reach the short-term target price, so the big boss chose to arbitrage during this critical period.

Technically, this two-month sideways is symmetry with the small head pattern, thus can interpret as the small head is being offset; then breakthrough, back-tested, and stand back the big neckline which consider as a strong signal. So, If MAGNI wanted to twist it current trend into bullish, then it is necessary to break through all these layers of pressure 4.50,4.60,4.70. Therefore, from conservative point of view, there will have a sideways above the support (4.10 ~ 4.20) is expected. Otherwise, this is the last speculation activity.

Related
MAGNI's Beauty Is Fading Away

MAGNI's Beauty Is Fading Away

Nothing will last forever.
MAGNI is fall below the neckline finally after the head is formed about half year more, so far it reach the short term downtrend target price, but I predict the downtrend target price corresponding to the head is about 3.53; maybe a rebound will occur, but this will consider as an escape signal if unable to stand above the neckline. So, whether will having another bearish trend again, then need to keep monitor closely, but at least the current price is not my favor.

花无百日红，“美女”也会有衰老的一天。
盘了大约半年多的头部，也终于破颈线，目前是满足了小头部的跌幅，但是预计这波大头部的跌幅会到大约3.53；也许会有反弹波，但只要越不过颈线都是逃命波的一种。至于以后会不会再有多头行情，那就必须持续观察，至少现在这个价位并不是我心中的安全位置。